Burnley vs Mansfield Town prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/02/2026

Burnley will welcome Mansfield Town to Turf Moor on Saturday for an FA Cup fourth-round tie.

The hosts got past Millwall in the last round and picked up a midweek Premier League win over Crystal Palace last time out, while their League One visitors have fought through three rounds and upset Sheffield United away from home in the third round.

Burnley vs Mansfield Town prediction: Can third-tier visitors continue cup run with Turf Moor upset?

Key stats

  • Burnley have reached the FA Cup fifth round at least in two of their last three attempts.
  • Burnley have managed just four wins from 26 Premier League games so far this season.
  • Mansfield have scored nine goals in their three FA Cup ties this term.

Correct score prediction: Burnley 4-1 Mansfield Town.

Mansfield defied the odds to beat Sheffield United away from home in the last round, but we see Saturday's tie as a step too far and back the top-flight side to show their class at Turf Moor.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Burnley heavy favourites in favourable tie

  • HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
  • DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
  • AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, bookmakers see Burnley as clear favourites in the home tie against third-tier visitors with a 69.2% chance to win in 90 minutes.

The visitors are given just a 16.7% chance to pull off another major upset, while bookmakers give a 21.7% chance to a draw in 90 minutes, extending the tie into extra time. Also, feel free to check out our Today’s betting tips page, as well as our FA Cup predictions & betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: First meeting in 22 years

The last H2H between these two sides came in January 20024, when Burnley won an FA Cup tie 2-0, while they have not met in the league since 1993.

Historically, Burnley have 11 H2H wins to Mansfield's two.

Burnley preview: Rotations after gruelling midweek win?

Scott Parker may opt to shake up his Burnley squad after Wednesday's hard-fought 3-2 Premier League win away at Crystal Palace.

Josh Cullen, Mike Tresor and Axel Tuanzebe remain sidelined by injuries, while Kyle Walker and Hannibal Mejbri may be among those to rest at the weekend.

Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK); Esteve, Worrall, Humphreys; Ekdal, Florentino, Ward-Prowse, Pires; Bruun Larsen, Foster & Tchaouna

Last five results:

  • 11/02/26: Crystal Palace 2-3 Burnley (Premier League)
  • 07/02/26: Burnley 0-2 West Ham (Premier League)
  • 02/02/26: Sunderland 3-0 Burnley (Premier League)
  • 24/01/26: Burnley 2-2 Tottenham (Premier League)
  • 17/01/26: Liverpool 1-1 Burnley (Premier League)

Mansfield Town preview: Sights set on continuing memorable run

Mansfield Town head to Turf Moor in a five-match winless run in League One, albeit with four of those being draws.

They will hope to add to the memories of a third-round away win over Sheffield United and are unable to call on Jordan Bowery, Joe Gardner, George Maris and Tyler Roberts due to injuries, while Ryan Sweeney also missed the weekend's loss to Peterborough United.

Rhys Oates, who scored in the last round at Bramall Lane, may come back in from the start to lead the line.

Predicted lineup: Roberts (GK); Hewitt, Oshilaja, Cargill, Blake-Tracy; Reed, Russell; Moriah-Welsh, Evans, Hendry & Oates

Last five results:

  • 10/02/26: Mansfield 1-2 Peterborough (League One)
  • 07/02/26: Mansfield 0-0 Exeter (League One)
  • 31/01/26: Mansfield 0-0 Wycombe (League One)
  • 27/01/26: Plymouth 1-1 Mansfield (League One)
  • 24/01/26: Stevenage 1-1 Mansfield (League One)


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