Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips 03/01/2026
With the Premier League now at the halfway stage of the season, Burnley will know that they must soon start picking up points to avoid being cut adrift at the bottom, starting with their away clash against Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday at the Amex.
The Seagulls come into the weekend in 14th place with 25 points following their 2-2 stalemate with West Ham United on Tuesday, whereas the Clarets are in 19th place with 12 points having lost 3-1 against Newcastle United on Tuesday, and they are six points from 17th-placed Nottingham Forest.
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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley prediction: Chance for Clarets to collect points?
Key stats
- Brighton have conceded 11 goals in their past six matches, whereas they had only conceded 10 goals in their prior 10 games.
- Burnley have scored just six times in their eight most recent fixtures.
- 20 of Brighton's 28 Premier League goals have come after the half-time interval.
Correct score prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Burnley
Brighton have often struggled to get off the mark quickly in games, and it would not be surprising if they failed to create much in the final third on Saturday.
While Burnley should look to take advantage of the Seagulls' defensive frailties, the Clarets have found it difficult to consistently threaten opponents, and the best they can hope for is likely a stalemate.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Brighton & Hove Albion predicted to win by the bookmakers
- HOME: 1/2 (1.5) – 66.7%%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- AWAY: 5/1 (6) – 16.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Brighton & Hove Albion are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 66.7%, and the bookmakers would be surprised if Burnley were to take any points considering they have given them just a 16.7% chance of winning and a 23.1% of drawing.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Burnley ahead in recent meetings
It should be noted that Burnley have not been beaten by Brighton in their last three meetings, with the Clarets coming out on top in one of those three encounters, though the two sides have settled for stalemates in their last two contests.
In fact, five of the teams' last eight matches against each other have seen the spoils shared, and both of Brighton's wins in that time were by one-goal margins.
Brighton & Hove Albion preview: Struggling of late
Brighton have failed to win any of their past six matches, with the club succumbing to defeat on three occasions, and they have alternated between victories and draws.
Boss Fabian Hurzeler will hope that winger Yankuba Minteh is not out for a prolonged period after being forced off against West Ham, but he could ask Brajan Gruda to fill on the right flank.
Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Veltman, Van Hecke, Dunk, Kadioglu, Ayari, Hinshelwood, Gruda, Gomez, De Cuyper & Welbeck
Last five results:
- West Ham United 2-2 Brighton & Hove Albion
- Arsenal 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
- Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 Sunderland
- Liverpool 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion
- Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 West Ham United
Burnley preview: Small signs of recovery?
Burnley showed great spirit against Newcastle, and they did draw the two games prior to their loss, though they have ultimately lost eight and drawn two of their last 10 matches.
Scott Parker will not be able to select centre-back Maxime Esteve due to injury, so perhaps Bashir Humphreys, Josh Laurent and Hjalmar Ekdal start in a three-man defence.
Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK), Laurent, Ekdal, Humphreys, Walker, Ugochukwu, Luis, Pires, Edwards, Broja & Tchaouna
Last five results:
- Burnley 1-3 Newcastle United
- Burnley 0-0 Everton
- Bournemouth 1-1 Burnley
- Burnley 2-3 Fulham
- Newcastle United 2-1 Burnley
Player to watch: Danny Welbeck
Brighton striker Danny Welbeck scored a penalty against West Ham but missed a second penalty, potentially costing his side the chance of victory.
The forward is the club's leading scorer in the Premier League (eight), but he has failed to net from open play in his last six league outings for the Seagulls, and Brighton will need better decision making from him if they are to break down Burnley at the Amex.
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