Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen prediction, odds & betting tips 07/12/2025
With the threat of Bundesliga relegation lingering over hosts Hamburger SV, they will want to get the better of Werder Bremen on Sunday at Volksparkstadion.
The home team are 13th with 12 points, four points and three places above the division's relegation playoff spot, whereas their opponents are 10th with 16 points having drawn 1-1 with FC Koln on November 29.
Contents
- 1 Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen prediction: A lack of clean sheets and confidence
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Hamburger SV predicted to win by the bookmakers
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Werder Bremen ahead in recent clashes
- 4 Hamburger SV preview: Beaten too frequently
- 5 Werder Bremen preview: Difficult to beat
- 6 Player to watch: Jens Stage
Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen prediction: A lack of clean sheets and confidence
Key stats
- Hamburger SV have kept their opponents at bay once in their last eight fixtures.
- Werder Bremen's defence have kept two clean sheets in their past seven games in all competitions.
- The hosts have scored one or fewer goals in 11 of their 15 outings across the 2025-26 campaign.
Correct score prediction: Hamburger SV 1-2 Werder Bremen
While neither team have been particularly strong at the back, Hamburger SV's displays in the final third have also been concerning.
If Werder Bremen can take an early lead, they may be able to frustrate their hosts, and it would be surprising if they failed to claim three points if they scored more than once on Sunday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hamburger SV predicted to win by the bookmakers
- HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.7) – 27%
- AWAY: 19/10 (2.9) – 34.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Hamburger SV are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 44.4%, though the bookmakers have given Werder Bremen a 34.5% chance of winning.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Werder Bremen ahead in recent clashes
In the two sides' six most recent encounters, Werder Bremen have claimed victory on three occasions, while they have only been beaten once.
It should be noted that the clubs have not faced each other since February 2022 – Bremen won 3-2 – and they have not clashed in the Bundesliga since February 2018.
Germany Bundesliga II 27/02/22
Hamburg
Werder Bremen
Germany Bundesliga II 18/09/21
Werder Bremen
Hamburg
Germany Bundesliga I 24/02/18
Werder Bremen
Hamburg
Germany Bundesliga I 30/09/17
Hamburg
Werder Bremen
Germany Bundesliga I 16/04/17
Werder Bremen
Hamburg
Hamburger SV preview: Beaten too frequently
Hamburger come into the weekend's match having suffered five losses in their last eight games, including when they lost on penalties against Holstein Kiel on Wednesday, while they only emerged as winners on two occasions in that period.
Considering centre-back Warmed Omari is dealing with an ankle issue, boss Merlin Polzin may look to start a three-man defence consisting of Nicolas Capaldo, Luka Vuskovic and Jordan Torunarigha.
Predicted lineup: Fernandes (GK), Capaldo, Vuskovic, Torunarigha, Gocholeishvili, Lokonga, Remberg, Muheim, Philippe, Dompe & Konigsdorffer
Last five results:
- Hamburger SV 1-1 Holstein Kiel
- Hamburger SV 2-1 Stuttgart
- Augsburg 1-0 Hamburger SV
- Hamburger SV 1-1 Borussia Dortmund
- FC Koln 4-1 Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen preview: Difficult to beat
Though the Green-Whites have failed to win their past two fixtures in the Bundesliga, they have experienced just one defeat in their last seven in the top flight, getting the better of opponents three times.
Despite fears that striker Keke Topp would be unavailable for the weekend, the centre-forward is ready to feature, and he will hope to start up front on Sunday.
Predicted lineup: Backhaus (GK), Sugawara, Pieper, Coulibaly, Friedl, Stage, Lynen, Puertas, Schmid, Grull & Topp
Last five results:
- Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
- RB Leipzig 2-0 Werder Bremen
- Werder Bremen 2-1 Wolfsburg
- Mainz 05 1-1 Werder Bremen
- Werder Bremen 1-0 Union Berlin
Player to watch: Jens Stage
Werder Bremen have unexpectedly relied on midfielder Jens Stage for contributions in the final third, as while he primarily plays in a double pivot, he has scored more goals than any of his teammates in the Bundesliga this term (four).
The Danish international has found the back of the net three times and provided one assist in his six most recent matches, though none of his strikes were the opening goal.
from Football Whispers https://ift.tt/3MruR7q
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