Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria prediction, odds & betting tips 31/12/2025
Equatorial Guinea will hope to close out their disappointing 2025 Africa Cup of Nations campaign with a win when they take on 2019 champions Algeria at Moulay Hassan Stadium on Wednesday, 31 December 2025.
View our free Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria predictions below.
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Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria predictions: Low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Equatorial Guinea are on a three-game losing run.
- Five of Algeria's last seven matches went below the 2.5-goal line.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in five of Equatorial Guinea’s last six games across all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Equatorial Guinea 0-2 Algeria
It is important to note that this is a meaningless game for both teams. Algeria have already secured the top spot in Group E, while Equatorial Guinea have been eliminated from AFCON 2025, regardless of the outcome of Wednesday's group games.
That said, Algeria have two wins in as many games, scoring four goals without conceding. Keeping in mind that they also did not concede in their last two clashes with Equatorial Guinea, we are confident that the 2019 AFCON champions will win to nil.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Algeria clearly favoured
- HOME: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Algeria are leading the Group E standings with six points. They defeated second-placed Burkina Faso and third-placed Sudan, and since H2H is the first tie breaker after points total, the Fennecs have guaranteed the top spot.
In contrast, Equatorial Guinea lost to Burkina Faso and Sudan, who each have three points. Even if they defeat Algeria by a considerable margin, the Red Devils will still finish last due to their inferior H2H record against both teams.
That said, Algeria are the expected winners at 3/4 (1.75). Teams with these odds generally have a 57.1% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria predictions.
It is also important to note that Algeria have opened the scoring in five consecutive matches across all competitions, leading at the half-time break in four of them. On that note, HT Algeria to win has an appealing look at 7/5 (2.40). That one has a 41.7% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Even contest
There have been three previous clashes between these teams – one at AFCON 2021 and the other two in the AFCON 2025 qualifiers. As it stands, both teams have one win apiece with a draw between them.
It is fair to note that Algeria lost to Equatorial Guinea in their first-ever encounter in the Nations Cup Group Stage in January 2022.
Coincidentally, both teams were also in Group E in the 2021 edition of this competition, as well as in the qualifying group for AFCON 2025.
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 14/11/24
Equatorial Guinea
Algeria
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification 05/09/24
Algeria
Equatorial Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations 16/01/22
Algeria
Equatorial Guinea
Equatorial Guinea preview: Couple of injury concerns
Head coach Juan Micha faces selection headaches following the injuries to Santiago Eneme and Pedro Obiang last time out against Sudan, as both players remain touch-and-go for this game at the time of writing.
Predicted lineup: Owono (GK), Akapo, Obiang, Coco, Anieboh, Mascarell, Salvador, Ganet, Machín, Josete, Zuniga.
Last five matches
- Equatorial Guinea 0-1 Sudan
- Burkina Faso 2-1 Equatorial Guinea
- Madagascar 2-0 Equatorial Guinea
- Kenya 0-1 Equatorial Guinea
- Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Liberia
Algeria preview: Perfect group stage campaign in sights
As for Algeria, Jaouen Hadjam is definitely ruled out due to an injury sustained against Burkina Faso, while Samir Chergui is also doubtful from a knock gotten in that same encounter.
Predicted lineup: Zidane (GK), Belghali, Mandi, Bensebaini, Hadjam, Boudaoui, Bennacer, Mahrez, Maza, Ait-Nouri & Bounedjah.
Last five matches
- Algeria 1-0 Burkina Faso
- Algeria 3-0 Sudan
- Algeria 1-1 (6) AP (7) UAE
- Algeria 2-0 Iraq
- Bahrain 1-5 Algeria
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